Economic Calendar

The Fed chair's keynote has repeatedly reset rate expectations for the rest of the year.

Payrolls, unemployment and wages in one print - the month's biggest data risk.

The inflation print the Fed's next move gets judged against.

Decision at 2:00, dot plot alongside, press conference at 2:30 - three chances to move markets.

The Fed's preferred inflation gauge; matters most when it disagrees with CPI.

First payrolls print of Q4 - sets the tone for year-end rate pricing.

Last CPI before the November FOMC meeting.

First read on third-quarter growth; big revisions are common, big surprises move rates.

No projections at this one - the statement language and presser carry all the signal.

Two days after the FOMC - a strong or weak print immediately re-tests the decision.

Shapes whether December brings a move or a hold.

The last payrolls print the December FOMC sees.

Year-end decision with a fresh dot plot - the market's map for next year.

Lands the morning after the Fed - confirmation or contradiction, either moves markets.